BN Receives Majority Support From Rakyat -
UMCEDEL Study
A number of 49% of rakyat in this country is expected to choose to vote for Barisan Nasional (BN) for the upcoming General Election, compared to 21% for Pakatan Rakyat.
Another 30% is still undecided and they are usually voters who would vote on the last minute.
That was the result of the study made by Universiti Malaya's Centre For Democracy and Elections group (UMCEDEL).
The study involve 2,282 respondents and interviews were done among various ethnics such as Malay, Chinese, Indian etc.
It was done from March 31 to April 15 with a margin error of 2.1%.
About 55% that were interviewed were men while the rest were women.
The result showed that Pakatan Rakyat would still need to work really hard before they could take over Putrajaya.
This also show that voters who remain undecided will play a vital role come election day.
Besides that, efforts that were introduced by the Prime Minister, Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak seems to have managed to attract huge support with 2/3 of respondents said that they truly support the government.
In the study, respondents were also asked whether adding more programs by the Prime Minister would add their support for BN or not.
For that, 68% of them mentioned their support on the Kedai Rakyat 1Malaysia program while 74% agreed with the Klinik 1Malaysia program.
The result of the study showed how hard would it be for Pakatan Rakyat to form a federal government after the coming GE considering that most rakyat are happy with the initiatives that has been done by the current government.
In the same development, the research also learned that the majority of Chinese and Indians are expected to vote for Pakatan Rakyat in Selangor while Malay support at the state will balance out the competition between Pakatan and BN.
60% respondents from Indians and 49% Chinese respondents said that they will support Pakatan Rakyat at the state, with only 20% Indians and 16% Chinese who support BN.
However, both parties have the same amount of support among Malays, with BN getting the advantage of 34% compared to Pakatan, 33%.
Meanwhile in Perak, Pakatan Rakyat might face a close war to retain the state that they won in 2008, before BN took it over in 2009.
BN raised majority support from all races, especially the highest support, Indians, with 67%.
Pakatan only raised 5% support from Indian.
BN also has the advantage of 36% in Malay voters and 35% Chinese voters compared to Pakatan who only gas 30% support from both races.
Despite that, 34% of Malay voters and 35% of Chinese are still yet to decide on who to vote for.
This show that Pakaran still has the chance to win the state for the coming election.
The study also found that Pakatan would be able to keep the amount of support that they have been getting in Kelantan, with 44% of respondents showed their support to them compared to BN with 27%.
In Kedah, Pakatan raised majority support from Chinese and Malay respondents, while BN is more popular among the Indians.
The study was done on 2,282 respondents that were chosen randomly according to the racial divisions in this country.
The result of the study can be seen here.
http://umcedel.um.edu.my/images/umcedel/doc/PRU13-WEB.pdf
3 comments:
Responden tu kecik sangat peratusannya berbanding dengan jumlah pengundi. Kalau ambil 5,000 responden di tempat penyokong tegar PAS rasanya analisa lebih buruk. Tapi peratusan respponden tetap kecil dan tidak mencermin secara umum
2000 orang responden dah kira bagus la, satu kerja yg bagus, kalau nak dibanding dgn orang yg hanya kuat bercakap diblog, tahu mengkritik saje
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